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Aircraft Asset Assessment

March 4, 2019

ATR72-600

Market Presence. As with the ATR42, orders for the ATR72 proved elusive in 2003 but improved in the recent years by a significant amount. The orders for the -600 now amount to more than 692. Production of the ATR72-600 has been variously increased and then reduced, nearly reaching a 100 a year at one stage, and the backlog now amounts to more than 200 aircraft which equates to at least 2-3 years production. Approximately 476 ATR72-600s have been delivered. The very number of deliveries and the length of time that the -600 has been in service has ensured that availability has increased. The problems that have been experienced in the recent past in terms of excess supply or nearly new aircraft served to undermine lease rentals. Lease rentals have yet to fully recover. With respect to the value of a new ATR72-600 the average of seven appraisers is just over $20 million with a narrow band between the highest and the lowest.

Market Outlook. The demand for the ATR72-600 is expected to remain reasonable in the coming years not least because there are still a large number of earlier ATR72 variants in service that require replacement. However, it is to be noted that with nearly 500 -600s having been delivered already there is likely to be further availability on the used market. The lack of a replacement in the near future remains a positive but ATR will be looking at improving engine efficiency in the not too distant future as a means of stimulating fresh orders.

 

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