FOR CURRENT &
FUTURE AIRCRAFT VALUES
Values Start to Benefit from Market Optimism
On-Going Threats Warrant Caution For the first time in nearly three years, on-going optimism over the fortunes of the aviation industry is beginning to filter through to lease rates and values. The partial resolution of the Iraq situation, the improvement in the stock market, the growth of the world economy…

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February 9, 2004
AVN
Paucity of B777-200ER Orders in 2003 Has Little Impact on Residuals
The last dash to record orders in 2003 saved the B777-200ER from recording an embarrassing absence of orders for the year. A single order for nine B777-200ERs from Korean Airlines in late December 2003 represented a much needed fillip to the variant order book. The previous order was placed in…

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February 9, 2004
AVN
A321 Values Face Testing Time As SAS Contemplates Disposal
The collapse of Aero Lloyd last year resulted in the disposal of a number of A321s, adding to concern over demand for the type and the relative strength of values. Just as the B777-200ER has been suffering from a declining order book in recent years, so too has the A321.…

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February 9, 2004
AVN
European Rulings Impact Demand for Additional Capacity
The ruling by the European Commission that the discounts and incentives offered by publicly owned airports and regional governments as a means of encouraging low-fare carriers to use secondary airports are illegal paves the way for higher fares, thereby limiting potential growth. Low-fare carrier Ryanair, reeling from a 30 percent…

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February 9, 2004
AVN
Credit & Term Determine Rental Levels
Rental levels of older widebodies continue to be heavily influenced by the financial standing of the lessee, the condition of the asset and the length of the lease term. Rentals for older types can exhibit a significant range in price. The four fundamentals of lease rentals, leaving aside interest rates…

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February 9, 2004
AVN
Orders for ATR Aircraft Keep Used Values on Even Keel
After a disappointing last year for ATR, the European turboprop manufacturer has announced a strong start to this year with an order for six ATR72-500s from Binter Canarias. Last year saw the collapse of key customers and operators ACES Colombia, Air Littoral and Khalifa Airways. Khalifa Airways in particular represented…

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February 9, 2004
AVN
Can Stage 2 Values Fall Any Further?
Despite signs that the wider market is beginning to enjoy the benefit of a stringer economy, the fortunes of the Stage 2 market continue to languish. A yawning gap exists between the value of those still in airworthy condition and performing commercial service and those that are in storage and…

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February 9, 2004
AVN
Improving Market Fails to Bolster MD11
The international scheduled market is continuing to enjoy considerable improvement but to date values of the MD11 have failed to benefit. The international scheduled market is at last seeing an improvement. Demand is such that operators are placing previously stored aircraft back into service. In a few instances, carriers are…

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February 9, 2004
AVN
Spread of Bird Flu Poses Threat to Recovery of Widebody Values
The spread of the so-called bird flu throughout Southeast Asia has not, as yet, affected demand for air travel to and from the region, but any proof of the transfer from human to human or a delay in taking remedial action will pose just as serious a threat to values…

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February 9, 2004
AVN
Sale of B757s to VIM-Avia Provides Relief for Values, But Obstacles Remain
The disposal of 12 ex-Thomas Cook PW2000 powered B757s to VIM-Avia of Russia in a deal that reportedly involves approximately $126 million represents an important fillip to the market, though the issue of import taxes has not yet been fully resolved. If sold for some $10 million to $11 million…

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February 9, 2004
AVN
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