FOR CURRENT &
FUTURE AIRCRAFT VALUES
50-seat Regional Jet Values Weaken
Values Give Way to New Types & Increased Risk Values of 50-seat regional jets are beginning to soften as a result of the arrival of a new generation of larger regional jets, the concentration of 50-seat regional jets in North America, the large number of 50 seaters delivered to date,…

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October 18, 2004
AVN
Swelling of Dash8 Order Book Keeps Values on Track
Long in the shadow of the larger turboprops, the poor relation of the Dash8 family, the -300, has received enough orders over the last few months to create a backlog sufficient to stabilize used values. The order for 17 Dash8Q-300s from Air New Zealand provides a much needed stimulus to…

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October 18, 2004
AVN
$10 Million Sale of 20 B737-200ADVs Reflects Age & Maintenance Status
Ryanair's [RYAAY] sale of 20 relatively young B737-200ADVs at a bargain price of $10 million reflects the damage caused to some of the aircraft by scribing. The carrier sold the 20 aircraft and spare engines to U.S. based Autodirect Aviation for $10 million. The aircraft are set to be parted…

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October 18, 2004
AVN
B737-600 Values Continue to Decline Despite WestJet Order
Values of the B737-600 continue to decline despite the sustained improvement in market conditions and limited interest from Canadian carrier WestJet [WJA]. The values of other members of the B737NG family, specifically the -700 and -800, have risen over the last six months due to the imbalance between supply and…

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October 18, 2004
AVN
High Fuel Price Makes for Tough Times
Despite the prospect of higher interest rates resulting from the inflationary effects of rising fuel prices, lease rentals of older equipment continue to be held back by the increasing appetite for newer equipment. With an improving market, the normal trend is for newer equipment to be absorbed first, for operators…

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October 18, 2004
AVN
Even Scrap Values Provide Little Solace
The sale of 20 B737-200ADVs, a number of spare engines and associated spares by Ryanair [RYAAY] for $10 million highlights the continued deterioration in Chapter 2 values. The line between airworthiness and the scrap yard is increasingly fine. For the B737-200ADV, in particular, the aircraft is subject to a number…

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October 18, 2004
AVN
B737-400 Values Experience Modest Fall
The values of the B737-400 have experienced a period of stability over the course of the last year; however, the expectation of a substantive improvement appears misplaced, even given the shortage of newer equipment. For the last year, rentals of the B737-400 have been improving. Though the -400 lacks the…

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October 18, 2004
AVN
B747-400 Derivative Must Secure 150 Orders to Avoid Value Marginalization
Boeing's [BA] effort later this month to present some details of the B747-400 derivative to airlines in Hong Kong provides some evidence that the U.S. manufacturer is serious about offering a replacement for the -400. Whatever details Boeing will present, interest in the aircraft is likely to be muted in…

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October 18, 2004
AVN
Cost of Fuel Likely to Keep Constrain on Demand
Despite the sustained improvement in market conditions and the rise in traffic, the International Air Transport Association (IATA) still expects world airlines to report a net loss of up to $4 billion this year partly because of the hike in fuel prices. The near 20 percent increase in international traffic…

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October 18, 2004
AVN
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