FOR CURRENT &
FUTURE AIRCRAFT VALUES
Low-Cost Carriers Help Boost Narrowbody Residuals
But LCCs Can Also Cause Short-Term Value Instability The rapid spread of the low-fare model from the U.S. to virtually all other regions of the world has stimulated greater-than-expected demand, allowing narrowbody values to register a rise for the first time in many years. While the legacy carriers mostly continue…

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November 29, 2004
AVN
Price of Oil Continues to Constrain Value Recovery
By continuing to hover at around US$50 a barrel, or $1.35 per gallon, the price of fuel is preventing values from experiencing the increase that should be justified given the low level of availability for modern equipment. Although jet fuel prices have fallen back from the $1.64 per gallon high…

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November 29, 2004
AVN
Values of Latest B767 Order Likely to Face Tough Times
While the latest order for four B767s provides a much-needed boost to the model at a time when Boeing [BA] is seeking to maintain a credible rate of production until the arrival of the B7E7 in 2008, values of the last units off the production line are unlikely to fare…

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November 29, 2004
AVN
PW6000-Powered A318 Values Uncertain as First Flight Looms
The imminent first flight of the heavily redesigned Pratt & Whitney [UTC] engine to be used on the A318 has not provided any clarification that the values of the airframe/engine combination will be any easier to define. The PW6000, due to fly for the first time on an A318 next…

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November 29, 2004
AVN
Freighter Rentals Enjoy Sustained Rise
The fourth quarter of any year is traditionally among the strongest for the freighter market, due in large part to the holidays. The run-up to the festive period involves a marked increase in demand for airfreight capacity. The commercialism of the holiday season stimulates the need for more time sensitive…

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November 29, 2004
AVN
Stage 3 Values Show Only Slight Increase
Despite the improvement in lease rentals, values of newer Stage 3 aircraft have failed to show a significant improvement over the last quarter. Too many uncertainties remain to justify unbridled increases in aircraft values. The U.S. legacy carriers in particular are a cause for considerable anxiety. Should one or more…

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November 29, 2004
AVN
B717 Values Continue to Decline
Despite the addition of a few new orders, the still virtually static order book for the B717 -- coupled with the manufacturer's offer of extensive support for the existing fleet -- has translated into weaker values for the aircraft. The Boeing [BA] B717-200, developed by McDonnell Douglas as the MD95,…

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November 29, 2004
AVN
Rise in A340-500 Weight Causes Problems for Existing Units' Values
Values of existing Airbus A340-500s featuring a MTOW of 372 tons are likely to feature a modest discount approximating 1 percent now that the manufacturer has opted to increase the weight to 380 tons, the same weight to be featured on the A340-600 due in service in 2006. The weight…

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November 29, 2004
AVN
'2010' Service Entry Date for B7E7-9 Complicates Residual Estimates
Boeing [BA] is again considering the possibility of moving forward the service entry date for the larger B7E7-9, which may require a reassessment of existing residual calculations for various widebodies. In its competition for the Qatar Airways order of up to 60 aircraft, Boeing is considering bringing forward the service…

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November 29, 2004
AVN
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