FOR CURRENT &
FUTURE AIRCRAFT VALUES
Values of Older Aircraft Unlikely to Recover
Values of Newer Aircraft Expected To See Some Improvement by 2011 With the deepest point of the current recession for aircraft values expected to occur during the winter of 2009/2010, the focus of attention is now on which aircraft types will manage to stage a recovery – and when. In…

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October 26, 2009
AVN
Second Delay to Service Entry of B747-8F Does Little for Values
The second delay to the service entry of the B747-8F should offer some respite for the beleaguered freighter market given the mammoth capacity of the new aircraft but such is the over-capacity in this sector that values of freighter remain fragile and vulnerable. The arrival of the peak season for…

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October 26, 2009
AVN
MRJ Values Moves Out of Shadows To Rival Embraer/Bombardier
The capture of a major international order by Mitsubishi Regional Jet (MRJ) represents a turning point for the program such that the new type could impact the residuals of current Embraer and Bombardier offerings while enhancing prospects for its own future values. The launch of any new program by a…

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October 26, 2009
AVN
Recovery In Rentals Still Six Months Away
Lease rentals of even the more popular aircraft types are considered to have sustained further falls in the context of still fragile demand. Comparing lease rentals on a like for like basis can be difficult given the influence of interest rates. The lack of credit initially drove LIBOR up despite…

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October 26, 2009
AVN
Older Widebodies At Scrap Levels
The fate of the older widebodies has been sealed for some time. Values have declined to scrap levels from which there is no expectation of a recovery. Unfortunately in this market, the older widebodies reached scrap levels much sooner than expected, never to recover. Against the backdrop of much more…

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October 26, 2009
AVN
Say Goodbye
The combination of age, reliability and high fuel prices have continued to ensure that the DC10-30 has been displaced to the sidelines such that the passing of the type is imminent. The recent improved fortunes of the B767-300ER hark back to the late 1980s when the rapid expansion of the…

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October 26, 2009
AVN
Aircraft Asset Assessment

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October 26, 2009
AVN
The DC10-30
Market Presence. The surprise is that there are still DC10-30s in service. Gone are such flag carrier names as British Airways, SAS, Sabena, Swissair, Lufthansa, MAS, Northwest, Thai. The operator base of the –30, a prime consideration when assessing current and future values, has declined between year-end 1990 and 2008…

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October 26, 2009
AVN
Potential Ryanair Order Likely to See Lesser Discounting
Any order for 200 aircraft is likely to see significant discounting but Ryanair is not likely to achieve the same degree of discounting that it secured in early 2002 when it placed a similar order with Boeing. Ryanair is still reportedly paying something like $35 million for B737-800s being delivered…

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October 26, 2009
AVN
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