FOR CURRENT &
FUTURE AIRCRAFT VALUES
Record 2018 Deliveries Not At Expense of Used Values
Airbus and Boeing managed to register record deliveries for 2018 but this has not adversely impacted values even though there was an opportunity for many new aircraft to act as replacements. With traffic levels still above the long term trend of five percent, albeit slowing, this growth needs to be…

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January 21, 2019
AVN
Values of the -400F Stable
Until the last few months the increase in airfreight traffic has served to allow values of the -400F to remain stable and even improve slightly. The B747 was always designed with the intention of being converted as Boeing believed that supersonic transports would become the norm. The original B747F started…

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January 21, 2019
AVN
Aircraft Asset Assessment
B747-400F Market Presence. The B747-400F was originally developed in the 1990s but the first example destined for Air France had to be parked for two years before it was delivered to Cargolux due to the downturn that was impacting the market in the aftermath of the first Gulf War. However,…

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January 21, 2019
AVN
Some Anxiety But Rates Remain Unchanged
The month of November should be a peak time for airfreight given the run up to Christmas but there was only a modest change improvement through to November 2018. The demand for airfreight has slowed in the last few months but thus far this has not resulted in any significant…

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January 21, 2019
AVN
Values of A319 Continue to Taper Down
The historical trend for values of the A319 initially showed some relative resilience but since 2009 have continued to slide down even if the rate of fall has slowed for the older examples in recent years. The value of the A319 in 1998 was approximately $35 million and because the…

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January 21, 2019
AVN
Prices of New A320s Hardly Changed in 20 Years
The value of a new A320ceo (low gross weight, non sharklet, no SpaceFlex) at less than $42 million is virtually the same as 20 years ago. When entering service in 1988 the value of a new A320 approximated just over $30 million. The value of a new A320 increased rapidly…

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January 21, 2019
AVN
Values of Older Widebodies Stutter
The values of mid age widebodies continue to suffer as the issue of value convergence takes hold and as production of outgoing models looms such as the A330ceo and B777. The arrival of new products and the divesting of older types is contributing to the lack luster nature of the…

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January 21, 2019
AVN
Airbus Investigates Replacement for A320neo & A350 Re-engining
Residuals Need to Reflect Changing Product Line in Long Term Residual value projections rarely assume that the status quo will be maintained over a 15-25 time horizon and as such market based forecasts will expect that current models will be upgraded and indeed, replaced. Market based forecasts are constantly anticipating…

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January 21, 2019
AVN
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