FOR CURRENT &
FUTURE AIRCRAFT VALUES
American EETC Reveals Strong Values from Three Appraisers
But Moodys Values Aircraft Lower The Enhanced Equipment Trust Certificate (EETC) issued by American Airlines (Series 2016-2) earlier this year saw 22 aircraft valued by three appraisers at an aggregate $1.497 billion. The 22 aircraft being financed comprised modern aircraft of 11 A321-200s; seven B737-800s; two B777-300ERs; and two B787-8s…

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May 30, 2016
AVN
Service Entry of B777X Creeps into This Decade Potentially Impacting -300ER
With Boeing indicating that service entry could be effected in the last months of 2019 instead of the first quarter of 2020 the residual values of the existing B777-300ER will need to be carefully assessed in the near term. The difference of a few months to the service entry of…

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May 30, 2016
AVN
A320s Under Scrutiny As Alaska Acquires Virgin America
With all Airbus equipped Virgin America being sold to all Boeing powered Alaska there exists the risk that a good number of used quality A320s may enter the market if Alaska seeks to rationalize its fleet around the Boeing product. Virgin America currently operates some 50 A320s and 10 A319s…

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May 30, 2016
AVN
Concept of “Half to Full Life” Fluid As Aircraft Move Pass Mid Life
For many years it has become the norm for investors and lessors to add a dollar amount to compensate for an aircraft being returned in full life or via a monetary adjustment but as an aircraft ages it becomes ever more impractical to consider that an aircraft will actually be…

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May 30, 2016
AVN
Values of A320neo Spare Engines Begin to Crystallize
While the delivery schedule for the A320neo is in some disarray due to the problems being resolved by Pratt & Whitney with respect to the PW1100G GTF engine, the large number of customers and the planned acceleration in delivery rates for the type means that there is an increasing need…

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May 30, 2016
AVN
Long Term Residuals Start to Compensate for New Projects
This decade has all the attributes to be the most unique in terms of aircraft products but the next 20 years will also see momentous changes which require to be incorporated into current residual value forecasts. During the ten years of this decade, virtually the entire product line will have…

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May 30, 2016
AVN
Rentals Remain Stable
The rate of traffic growth continues to be above trend and this is allowing rentals to remain stable at least for the newer and MLA (Mid Life Aircraft) aircraft. The competition is intense among the lessors as more institutions enter the market and margins are therefore being impacted to some…

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May 30, 2016
AVN
Regional Jet Values Stable
The 50 seat segment of the market continues to struggle with hundreds in storage. The values of the 50-70 seaters remain under pressure but those for the larger versions are managing to remain stable even in the face of new types. The lower price of fuel is benefitting the 50…

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May 30, 2016
AVN
Aircraft Market Assessment
The B737-900 Market Presence. The B737-900 has not proved to be a success. Just as the B757-300 and B767-400, the stretch to the existing B737-800 did not go far enough, leaving Airbus with a few more years in which to gain orders. The -900 is marginalized in terms of fleet…

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May 30, 2016
AVN
Bombardier CRJ Series Values Face Tough Times As Backlog Falls
With a dwindling order backlog, the values of the CRJ series of products are falling with nothing to act as brake. The list prices of the CRJ700 amount to $41 million for the CRJ700; $46 million for the CRJ900 and $49 million for the CRJ1000. This compares with values of…

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May 30, 2016
AVN
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