FOR CURRENT &
FUTURE AIRCRAFT VALUES
Aircraft Archive: Boeing B737-300
Narrowbodies Fare Better than Widebodies
COVID-19 has had a disastrous effect on the values of virtually all aircraft types but some narrowbodies are managing to shrug off the worst of the discounting. In this issue, a ROM (rough order of magnitude) is provided for narrowbodies in terms of the level of discounting to be applied…

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April 14, 2020
AVN
Aircraft Values in Economic Downturns
Any forecasting needs to draw upon past events. The industry has been through some seven major M events over the course of the last 50 years. The invasion of Kuwait in 1990 led to a significant decline in the global economy while the events of 2001 had a direct effect…

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March 30, 2020
AVN
Assumptions
The table is published on an annual basis and complements the quarterly updates to specific aircraft categories. The table encompasses both current and future lease rentals. The methodology involved in calculating lease rentals differs from that of values. Lease rentals display greater volatility. Rentals are calculated individually and are not…

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March 2, 2020
AVN
New Value of B737-700 Shows Considerable Volatility
The value attributed to a newly delivered B737-700 over the last 23 years reflects considerable volatility but also the effect – or lack – of inflation. When the B737-700 was first introduced in 1997, the value was a few million dollars more than the B737-300 which was in the final…

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February 3, 2020
AVN
“Residual Cascade” Sees Need for Fresh Risk Analysis
Values May See Fundamental Change in 10 Not 20 Years The market is potentially at a turning point when a series of events will initiate a “Residual Cascade” whereby residual values may irrevocably deviate from the current expected path. As the year ends, residual values need to be viewed in…

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December 9, 2019
AVN
Higher Spares Pricing Raises Floor For A320 & B737NG Values
High Engine Values Increases Part Out Value The demand for spares and spare engines is having a positive impact on the minimum prices being paid for old and even mid-life aircraft and is tempting owners to dispose of their aircraft thereby to some extent skewing retirement profiles. At one time,…

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November 25, 2019
AVN
Uncertain Timing of B737MAX Helps Values
The parking of the B737MAX and the absence of hundreds of newly delivered examples is helping to maintain values of some existing aircraft, aircraft that otherwise would be seeing considerable declines. The market for airlines is not positive. While demand is still relatively high and load factors are at near…

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November 11, 2019
AVN
Values of B737-500 At Virtual Scrap Levels
The B737-500 has passed the tipping point when more than fifty percent have been either scrapped or in storage which means that even the engines are not in particular demand. The oldest B737-500 is 29 years of age with a fleet average of around 23 years. Yet of the 389…

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October 28, 2019
AVN
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