FOR CURRENT &
FUTURE AIRCRAFT VALUES
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Aircraft Asset Assessment

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January 18, 2010
AVN
B777-200
Market Presence. The B777-200 has experienced the fate of most initial variants of a new model –marginalization within the first decade of service entry. This should provide some pause for thought when considering the B787. The difference for the -200 lay with the expectation that such an outcome could be…

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January 18, 2010
AVN
No Need for B787-3 Values as Only Customer Switches to -8
Calculating values for the B787-3 has become a futile exercise in the wake of the only customer for the variant switching to the -8. All Nippon Airways had ordered 28 shorter range -3s at the start of the B787 program as part of an order for 55 aircraft. Japan Airlines…

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January 18, 2010
AVN
Last Delivery of B747-400 Highlighted by Depressed Values CRJ200 Values Face Renewed Pressure as Mesa Falters MD80 Acquisition Fails to Turn Type Into Asset Cargo Traffic For 2009 Experiences Major Fall But Improvement Evident Widebody Lease Rates Continu
Values of B747-400 & -400Fs Approach Low Point The delivery of the last B747-400 – a -400ERF – in late 2009 signals the end of an era as well as highlighting a considerable deterioration in the value of both the passenger and freighter versions over the course of the last…

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January 18, 2010
AVN
Last Delivery of B747-400 Highlighted by Depressed Values
Values of B747-400 & -400Fs Approach Low Point The delivery of the last B747-400 – a -400ERF – in late 2009 signals the end of an era as well as highlighting a considerable deterioration in the value of both the passenger and freighter versions over the course of the last…

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January 18, 2010
AVN
CRJ200 Values Face Renewed Pressure as Mesa Falters
The filing of Chapter 11 by Mesa Air Group does not bode well for CRJ200 values given that another 25 are to be parked alongside a large number already in storage. While Mesa Air Group intends to operate as normal while under Chapter 11, reportedly another 25 CRJs will be…

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January 18, 2010
AVN
MD80 Acquisition Fails to Turn Type Into Asset
The acquisition of 18 MD80s by Allegiant Travel Company, comprising 13 MD82/MD8s and five MD87s, will do nothing to alter the perception that the type is not suited to asset based financing. Allegiant remains a key source of demand for the MD80 having now entered into five transactions with SAS…

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January 18, 2010
AVN
Cargo Traffic For 2009 Experiences Major Fall But Improvement Evident
Cargo traffic, an barometer for the aviation industry, may have seen considerable falls during 2009 but the final months are showing something of a turnaround which could herald improved fortunes for the much beleaguered passenger market. The values of freighter aircraft have tumbled during the course of the last eighteen…

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January 18, 2010
AVN
Widebody Lease Rates Continue to Stumble
The bottom for widebody lease rentals is fast approaching although the Northern Hemisphere winter may yet see some further problems which will undermine the ability of lessors to hike rates. The lease rentals of widebodies have been bloodied over the last eighteen months by low interest rates and rising availability…

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January 18, 2010
AVN
Chapter 2 Segment Not Suited to Asset Based Financing
Placing a value on an aircraft implies that the asset has some attraction beyond that of the existing operator. While older Chapter 2 aircraft can still be traded, the price has become much more important than the value. The number in permanent storage is ever rising and the junkyards cannot…

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January 18, 2010
AVN
B777-200 Values Continue to Tumble
The previous ability to take refuge from the effects of a non-existent backlog and limited operators by hiding behind the -200ER has dissipated, leaving the -200 particularly vulnerable. Values of the -200 previously enjoyed a rise only for the last eighteen months to see values falling by more than 20…

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January 18, 2010
AVN