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Aircraft Asset Assessment – The A319

September 26, 2022

Market Presence. The A319 has experienced a number of fortunes during the course of its 23 year history, ranging from a shortage to an excess through to sustained popularity and at least parity with Boeing products. The 1,486 orders and the number of operators underline the popularity of the type to not just to a few major operators but to a wide range of airlines. The backlog now numbers only two with the A319neo having entered service for which 87 orders have been placed and eight delivered. Airbus continues to offer the A319neo but prefers to offer the A220-300. The historical trend for values of the A319 initially showed some relative resilience but since 2009 have experienced sustained weakness. The value of the A319 in 1998 was approximately $35 million and because the market was beginning to replace B737-200s, B737-300s and DC9s, the decline was modest, certainly below the average ten percent annual fall. But even though the events of 2001 shook confidence in all types, the then recent service entry of the A319 ensured that the effect was more limited. The fall between 2000 and 2001 was only some 15 percent which was much less than the 30 percent or more suffered by types no longer in production. With the market still seeking to match capacity with demand and in the face of relatively low load factors, the demand for the A319 recovered with values for the 1998 vintage aircraft actually rising through to 2007. With the Great Recession, values experienced a significant fall from which they have not recovered although in 2014 and the 2015 the fall was more modest. The Covid Event inevitably caused values to experience a fall of more than 25 percent. In the period 2020-2021 values either stagnated or increased by a small amount with 2022 now showing some decline.

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