FOR CURRENT &
FUTURE AIRCRAFT VALUES
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Potential Collapse of U.S. Majors Still Contains Value Recovery
Dual Failure of US Airways & Delta Would Set Back Values for Two Years Any significant improvement in aircraft values is being marred by the prospect of one, two or perhaps three North American majors disposing of large numbers of aircraft as a result of entering Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection,…

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May 31, 2004
AVN
Sustained Oil Price Hike Could Cap Value Recovery
The $41 per barrel price of oil has the potential to cap the recovery in aircraft values should it lead to the collapse of one or more major carrier and cause a shortfall in traffic. The price of spot fuel in New York has risen to nearly $1.30 a gallon,…

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May 31, 2004
AVN
Turboprop Rentals Remain Steady
In the context of high fuel prices, the economy of turboprops is providing renewed enthusiasm for these aircraft, but it has yet to translate into higher rentals. From the late 1990s through today, the scramble for jets appeared to leave turboprops languishing. The virtual disappearance of manufacturers and the reduction…

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May 31, 2004
AVN
Newer Freighters in the Highest Demand
With the ongoing transition of the world economy from recession to recovery, the demand for freighter capacity continues to increase sufficiently as to warrant further optimism about values. Despite the difficulties of Atlas Air, the wider freighter market continues to experience considerable growth, particularly in Asia. The Asian market, dominated…

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May 31, 2004
AVN
ATR Seeks to Maintain Value By Extending Aircraft Life
With the prospects of the most highly utilized ATR42 being grounded by 2009 due to its design objective life being reached, a life extension program would enable values of freighter units, in particular, to extend perhaps 35 years and the technical service life to 40 years. The highest time ATR42,…

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May 31, 2004
AVN
B737-200ADV Values Approach Rock Bottom
Values of the B737-200ADV have continued to decline to the degree that, while the aircraft is still marketable, there are fewer opportunities for asset-based financing. During the 1970s and 1980s, and for some of the 1990s, the B737-200ADV performed extremely well for both operators and investors. Size, operating economics, and…

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May 31, 2004
AVN
PW6000-Powered A318 Values Continue To Languish
The A318, recently buoyed by an all-too-rare order for four units, continues to experience a decline in value. The Pratt & Whitney-powered version is still not due to enter service until the end of 2005, some three years later than originally scheduled. Intended as the launch engine, the redesign of…

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May 31, 2004
AVN