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Rise of A321neo Offers Prospect of Higher Residuals but Exposes B737-10
The rapid acceleration in the number of A321neo orders over the course of the last few years has significant consequences for the industry and residual values. The demand for higher capacity narrowbodies is increasing due to a number of factors. In the 1990s, there was speculation that the average size…

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November 25, 2019
AVN
Engine Life Limited Parts Pricing Continues to Rise - $4m for CFM56-7
The cost of the life limited parts continues to be a major cost item for operators which has partially led to an increase in demand for spare engines. Engine technology has advanced significantly from the 1960s and 1970s when engines were replaced at very regular intervals not least because of…

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November 25, 2019
AVN
CRJ200 Values Fell As A Result of Scope Creep
The values of the CRJ200ER have experienced volatility since being introduced in the mid 1990s but recent stability is only a consequence of values having fallen so far. The value of a new CRJ200ER in 1997 was only $16.9 million which compares with the $21 million value for a new…

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November 25, 2019
AVN
Rentals for Outgoing Widebodies Weaken
The rentals for the outgoing widebodies are under pressure as operators increasingly switch to more modern aircraft. While the focus of attention may currently be on the grounding of the B737MAX and the cessation of A380 production in the next two years, there are a considerable number of new widebodies…

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November 25, 2019
AVN
Weak Airfreight Market Contains Values
The market for airfreight, despite the runup to the festive season, continues to be sufficiently lack luster as to ensure that there is no improvement in freighter values. The announcement that a B777-300ER conversion program is underway, coupled with discussions around a freighter version of the B777-8, may provide an…

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November 25, 2019
AVN
B747-400 Values Fall Below $10 million
The market for the B747-400 remains more with existing operators than the wider market although the depth of the operator base cannot be ignored. The delivery of a modest number of B747-8s, more A380s for the time being, as well as the B7777-300ER and soon the B777-9, finally draws a…

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November 25, 2019
AVN
Aircraft Asset Assessment
The B747-400 Market Presence. The B747-400 represents the core of an ever smaller number of major carriers fleets around the world. Performance, economy and capacity were unmatched and had become the baseline by which all other types are judged. In designing the A380, Airbus had to reduce operating costs by…

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November 25, 2019
AVN
Values of New A330-300s Continue to Fall
The fall in value of the A330-300 should come as no surprise in view of the transition to the replacement A330-900 and the very competitive nature of this segment of the market. Boeing is pushing the B787-8 – and -9 – extremely hard and this has led to some significant…

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November 25, 2019
AVN